# Annual Reports

## 2009

**Membership**
Professor P.H. Garthwaite (Head of Group)

Dr C.J. Albers (to July)

Dr K. Anaya

Professor F. Critchley

Dr A.E. Faria

Professor C.P. Farrington

Professor J.C. Gower

Dr M.N. Hocine

Dr G.E. Iossif

Professor M.C. Jones

Mr I.W. Martin

Professor K.J. McConway

Dr C.M. Queen

Dr N.T. Trendafilov

Dr S. Unkel (from October)

Dr S.K. Vines

Dr H.J. Whitaker

**Full-time research students **
Mr O. Anacleto (from October)

Mr T. Collins (joint with Computing)

Mr S. De (to August)

Mr F. Elfadaly

Mr D. Gragn

Ms A. Noufaily

Mr S. Unkel (to September)

**Part-time research students **
Mr N. Calleja

Ms A. Gjini

Mr G. Kafatos

Mr A. Owen

Mr J. Urquhart (joint with Applied Mathematics)

**Support staff **
Mrs S. Frain, Group Secretary

**Visitors**
Professor J.B. Copas (University of Warwick)

Professor S. Eguchi (Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo)

Professor N. Ghazzali (University de Laval, Canada)

Dr P.V. Larsen (University of Southern Denmark)

Professor N. Le Roux (University of Stellenbosch, South Africa)

Dr L. Levesque & Ms L. Smith (Queens University, Canada)

Professor P.K. Marriott (University of Waterloo, Canada)

Professor Z. Shkedy & Mr E. Del Fava (Hasselt University, Belgium)

Dr S. Sisson and Dr Y. Fan (University of New South Wales, Australia)

Dr P.C. Taylor (University of Hertfordshire)

Professor P.W. Vos (East Carolina University, U.S.A.)

**Introduction**
2009 was, inevitably, another active year for Statistics at the Open University in both research and teaching.

The revision of

M346 Linear Statistical Modelling was successfully presented for the first time in 2009. Substantial work continued on both our new web-based course M347 Mathematical Statistics and on the revision of

M343 Applications of Probability. Our contribution to the Science Faculty's short course programme, SMK184 Chance, Risk and Health, came to an end. The Group's courses attracted a total of over 2200 students in 2009.

The end of 2009 saw some changes in personnel/positions. Our long employment of John Gower came to an end as he retired (and not for the first time!). We are delighted to say that John is continuing to work with us in the capacity of Visiting Professor with the title of Emeritus Professor shortly to be conferred. Casper Albers left his postdoctoral position (in the summer) to take up a post as University Lecturer in Statistics at the University of Groningen in the Netherlands. The postdoctoral positions of Mounia Hocine and Karim Anaya also came to an end. Mounia is now Ma�tre de Conferences at CNAM, the Conservatoire National des Arts et M�tiers, in Paris, while Karim remains with us in a different postdoctoral capacity. Steffen Unkel has also graduated from research student to research associate. These changes have been met with sadness, but our very best wishes, where people have gone away, and by relief and pleasure at their continued presence here when they haven't!

We are delighted to be able to report the promotion during 2009 of Kevin McConway to a Chair in Applied Statistics.

In the course of the year, members of the Department published 21 papers in refereed journals (see Section 6), including some of the very best outlets. Pre-publication papers and other research material can be found in our

**technical report section**.

2009 was a particularly successful year for our international profile with members of the Group taking part in numerous international conferences and hosting a large number of research visitors. And our domestic profile was enhanced too by no fewer than three contributions to our long-standing series of Open University conferences in Statistics.

The Statistical Advisory Service to support research in other departments at the Open University continued to run. Its usual leader, Alvaro Faria, was on study leave in Portugal for much of the year but Paul Garthwaite, assisted at various times by Paddy Farrington, Karen Vines and Heather Whitaker, continued to provide advice. A website explains the service:

http://www.mathematics.open.ac.uk/advisory
Further information on the Department is available through our web pages at

http://statistics.open.ac.uk/
**Teaching**
**Presentation**
The Department presented four courses of 30 CATS points each, namely,

M248 Analysing Data,

M249 Practical Modern Statistics,

M343 Applications of Probability and

M346 Linear Statistical Modelling, and one course of 10 CATS points, SMK184 Chance, Risk and Health, which ran four times in the year.

Each of the first level mathematics courses, MU120 Discovering Mathematics and

MST121 Using Mathematics, contains substantial amounts of statistical material (roughly one quarter of each) with which Alvaro Faria, Heather Whitaker and Nickolay Trendafilov were involved.

Kevin McConway contributed to the presentation of

SDK125 Introducing Health Sciences.

**Production**
The Group has continued production of M347 Mathematical Statistics. As well as enhancing our third level provision with a new course that gives the theory behind the methods, this course is notable for leading the way within the Department of Mathematics and Statistics in terms of electronic presentation. M347 is to be presented entirely on-line, and we are investigating ways of making the very best use of modern web-based tools. Catriona Queen and Chris Jones are course team co-chairs; Paddy Farrington, Ian Martin and Heather Whitaker are also course authors; and Robert Hasson (Applied Maths) has an important role, especially in facilitating the interface between Latex drafting and the University's Virtual Learning Environment.

Gillian Iossif is leading the revision of M343 Applications of Probability. This old, but very successful, course is in need of a certain amount of improvement and updating. Gillian is single-handedly authoring the entire revision. She has help in the form of Nickolay Trendafilov with respect to software aspects.

**Awards **
Our courses are compulsory components of degrees in

Mathematics and Statistics,

Computing and Statistics,

Mathematics and its Learning.

Economics and Mathematical Sciences and Business Studies with Accounting, as well being specified options in certain other awards. Forty-four students were awarded the Mathematics and Statistics degree in 2009. The undergraduate

Diploma in Statistics is now awarded to students who successfully study M248, M249, M343 and M346 (or their predecessors). A little under 100 students are awarded the Diploma each year.

**Ph.D.s awarded**
Swarup De for his thesis A Bayesian Space-Time Dynamic Linear Model for Radioactivity Deposition after a Nuclear Accident (supervisors: A.E. Faria and K.J. McConway).

Steffen Unkel for his thesis Factor Analysis of Data Matrices: New Theoretical and Computational Aspects with Applications (supervisors: N.T. Trendafilov and M.C. Jones)

**Research interests**
The Department is home to three Research Groups:

**Multivariate Statistics**: Critchley (chair), Albers, Anaya, De, Faria, Garthwaite, Gower, Gragn, Jones, Queen, Trendafilov, Unkel, Vines, Constantine (CSIRO, retired), Cook (University of Minnesota), Marriott (University of Waterloo), Taylor (University of Hertfordshire).

**Bayesian Statistics**: Queen (chair), Albers, De, Faria, Farrington, Garthwaite, McConway, Vines, Whitaker.

**Medical Statistics**: Whitaker (chair), Farrington, Garthwaite, Hocine, Unkel, Vines.

Clearly, these three general groupings cover a huge variety of research projects in Statistics. Inter alia, they organise informal internal research meetings. Research also continues, of course, on topics not directly covered by these Research Groups, of which distribution theory, kernel smoothing, robust statistics, time series forecasting and influence analysis are but a small selection. Strong ongoing collaborations continue in areas such as medicine, psychology, traffic modelling and ecology.

For details, see the publications, talks and other items to follow.

**Publications**
**Publications in refereed academic journals**
Blasius, J., Eilers, P.H.C. &

**Gower, J.C.** (2009) Better biplots. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 53, 3145-3158.

Crawford, J.R. &

**Garthwaite, P.H**. (2009) Percentiles please: The case for expressing neuropsychological test scores and accompanying confidence intervals as percentile ranks. Clinical Neuropsychologist, 23, 193-204.

Crawford, J.R.,

**Garthwaite, P.H.** & Betkowska, K. (2009) Bayes theorem and diagnostic tests in neuropsychology: interval estimates for post-test probabilities. Clinical Neuropsychologist, 23, 624-644.

Crawford, J.R.,

**Garthwaite, P.H.** & Howell, D.C. (2009) On comparing a single case with a control sample: an alternative perspective. Neuropsychologia, 47, 2690-2695.

Crawford, J.R.,

**Garthwaite, P.H.**, Lawrie, C.J., Henry, J.D., MacDonald, M.A., Sutherland, J. & Sinha, P. (2009) A convenient method of obtaining percentile norms and accompanying interval estimates for self-report mood scales. British Journal of Clinical Psychology, 48, 163-180.

Crawford, J.R.,

**Garthwaite, P.H**. & Slick, D.L. (2009) On percentile norms in neuropsychology: Proposed reporting standards and methods for quantifying the uncertainty over the percentile ranks of test scores. Clinical Neuropsychologist, 23, 1173-1195.

El-Bassiouny, A.H. &

**Jones, M.C.** (2009) A bivariate F distribution with marginals on arbitrary numerator and denominator degrees of freedom, and related bivariate beta and t distributions. Statistical Methods and Applications, 18, 465-481.

**Farrington, C.P**., Firth, M.J., Moulton, L.H., Ravn, H., Anderson, P.K. & Evans, S. (2009) Epidemiological studies of the non-specific effects of vaccines: II methodological issues in the design and analysis of cohort studies. Tropical Medicine and International Health, 14, 977�985.

**Farrington, C.P., Whitaker, H.J. & Hocine, M.N**. (2009) Case series analysis for censored, perturbed or curtailed post-event exposures. Biostatistics, 10, 3-16.

**Farrington, C.P., Whitaker, H.J**., Wallinga, J. & Manfredi, P. (2009) Measures of disassortativeness and their application to directly transmitted infections. Biometrical Journal, 51, 1�21.

**Garthwaite, P.H. & Jones, M.C**. (2009) A stochastic approximation method and its application to confidence intervals. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 18, 184-200.

Hannachi, A.,

**Unkel, S., Trendafilov, N. T**. & Jolliffe, I. T. (2009) Independent component analysis of climate data: A new look at EOF rotation. Journal of Climate, 22, 2797-2812.

**Hocine, M.N**., Musonda, P., Andrews, N.J. &

** Farrington, C.P. **(2009) Sequential case series analysis for pharmacovigilance. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 172, 213�236.

**Jones, M.C**. (2009) Kumaraswamy�s distribution: a beta-type distribution with some tractability advantages. Statistical Methodology, 6, 70-81.

**Jones, M.C. **& Henderson, D.A. (2009) Maximum likelihood kernel density estimation: on the potential of kernel convolution sieves. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 53, 3726-3733.

**Jones, M.C**. & Pewsey, A. (2009) Sinh-arcsinh distributions. Biometrika, 96, 761-780.

Nielsen, J.P., Tanggaard, C. &

**Jones, M.C.** (2009) Local linear density estimation for filtered survival data, with bias correction. Statistics, 43, 167-186.

**Queen, C.M.** **& Albers, C.J.** (2009) Intervention and causality: forecasting traffic flows using a dynamic Bayesian network. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 104, 669-681.

**Trendafilov, N.T. & Vines, K**. (2009) Simple and interpretable discrimination. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 53, 979-989.

**Whitaker, H.J., Hocine, M.N. & Farrington, C.P. **(2009) The methodology of self-controlled case series studies. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 18, 7�26.

Wieringa, J., Dijksterhuis, G.,

**Gower, J.C.** & van Perlo, F. (2009). Generalised Procrustes analysis with optimal scaling: exploring data from a power supplier. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 53, 4546-4554.

**Refereed conference proceedings **
**Unkel, S. & Trendafilov, N. T.** (2009) Factor analysis as data matrix decomposition: a new approach for quasi-sphering in noisy ICA. In Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Independent Component Analysis and Signal Separation, eds: T. Adali et al., Lecture Notes in Computer Science 5441, Springer, pp. 163-170.

**Seminars and conferences at The Open University**
In 2009, the Statistics Group organised no fewer than three of its annual conferences.

The first of these, held in March, was entitled

**Traffic Modelling**. The organising committee comprised Catriona Queen, Casper Albers, Sarah Frain, Sara Griffin (secretary in Mathematics & Statistics Department) and Joan Serras (Design Group, Open University). Speakers at this one-day meeting were:

Haibo Chen (University of Leeds) Use of neural networks in traffic and environment modelling example studies

Malcolm Farrow (University of Newcastle) Stochastic models and diagnostic plots for road traffic vehicle headways

Richard Gibbens (University of Cambridge) Data, modelling and inference in road traffic networks

Jeff Johnson (The Open University) Complexity science and transport systems

Lyudmila Mihavlova (Lancaster University) Vehicular traffic modeling and traffic flow estimation with particle filtering methods

Catriona Queen (The Open University) A graphical dynamic approach to forecasting road traffic flow networks

Joan Serras (Dept of Design, Development, Environment and Materials, The Open University) Modelling very large transport systems

David Watling (University of Leeds) Statistical inference for traffic network models

Eddie Wilson (University of Bristol) Differential equation models for forecasting highway traffic flow

The second conference, held in May, was a two-day conference on

**Statistics for Health Registers and Linked Databases**, organised by Paddy Farrington, Sarah Frain, Sara Griffin, Heather Whitaker, Mario Cortina (Institute of Child Health, London) and Liam Smeeth (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine). Financial support for this conference was provided by a grant from the Wellcome Trust. Speakers were:

Sheila Bird (MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge) Best laid plans: record linkage illuminates public health, and other jurisdictions

Paul Boyle (St Andrews University) The value of linking lives through time for health research

Harvey Goldstein (Bristol University) Efficient use of prior information about record mismatches in analysing linked data

Catherine Quantin (Dijon University) Linking multiple and heterogeneous databases: confidentiality and patient identification issues

Mario Cortina (Institute of Child Health, London) Copula models for record linkage

Stijn Vansteelandt (Ghent University) Estimating direct effects in cohort and case-control studies

Bianca De Stavola (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) Sensible uses of linked registry data when either outcome or exposure data are missing

Chris Jackson (MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge) Modelling combinations of population and survey data in epidemiological studies

Marie Reilly (Karolinska Institute, Stockholm) Assessment of bias in familial risks estimated from population register data

Paddy Farrington (Open University) Case series methods for the analysis of linked data and clinical records

Hans van Houwelingen (Leiden University) Modelling long term survival data: beyond the proportional hazards model

Bendix Carstensen (Steno Diabetes Centre, Denmark) Practical use of Lexis diagrams in the analysis and routine reporting from population registers

Daniela De Angelis (MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge and Health Protection Agency, London) A Bayesian approach to estimating disease prevalence using information from multiple sources: HIV and HCV in England and Wales

Ismail Ahmed & Pascale Tubert-Bitter (INSERM, Paris) Signal ranking-based comparison of automatic detection methods in pharmacovigilance: a hypothesis test approach

There was also a roundtable discussion led by Liam Smeeth (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine) and Carol Dezateux (Institute of Child Health, London)

And in July, there was our third event! This was

**WOGAS**, a

**Workshop on Geometric and Algebraic Statistics**. The organising committee consisted of Frank Critchley, Karim Anaya-Izquierdo, Sarah Frain and Sara Griffin. The speakers at this one-day event were:

Frank Critchley (Open University) Emerging geometries for statistical science: an introduction

Paul Marriott (University of Waterloo, Canada) Sensitivity analysis for statistical science: embedding in the space of distributions

John Copas (University of Warwick) Lack of fit and model choice

Henry Wynn (London School of Economics) Algebraic structures in statistical models

Giovanni Pistone (Politechnico di Torino, Italy) Three examples of applications:� combinatorial optimization, Kriging in computer experiments and -exponential models

Karim Anaya-Izquierdo (Open University) Sensitivity analysis for statistical science: constructing the perturbation space

Matt Parry (University of Cambridge) Local scoring rules

Peter Jupp (St Andrews University) An intrinsic van Trees inequality

Shinto Eguchi (Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo) Maximizing t-values for all functions of a feature vector

And, again, a roundtable discussion, including contributions from Phil Dawid (University of Cambridge), Pia Larsen (University of Southern Denmark), Eva Riccomagno (University of Warwick) and Paul Vos (East Carolina University).

The group also ran its usual seminar programme with invited speakers. Over the year we heard:

Patrick Groenen (Erasmus University, Rotterdam, Netherlands) Support vector machines in the primal using majorization and kernels

David Firth (University of Warwick) Working with over-parameterized models

Jochen Einbeck (University of Durham) Smoothing, sampling, and Basu's elephants

Mike Powell (University of Cambridge) The BOBYQA algorithm for bound constrained minimization without derivatives

Natesh Pillai (University of Warwick) Behaviour of MCMC algorithms in high dimensions

Stephen Walker (University of Kent) A decision theoretic approach to Bayesian learning

Yanan Fan (University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia) Likelihood-free inference with Sequential Monte Carlo sampler

Ivonne Solis-Trapala (Lancaster University) Modelling cognitive performance in the young and the older

We ran our sixth Annual Research Students� Research Day, where speakers were Tom Collins, Fadlalla Elfadaly, Doyo Gragn, Angela Noufaily, Alun Owen, Steffen Unkel and John Urquhart.

And we still found time for an internal research morning at which speakers were Doyo Gragn, Paul Garthwaite, Paddy Farrington, Karen Vines and Chris Jones.

**Conference papers and posters presented**
**K. Anaya**
Workshop on Geometric and Algebraic Statistics (WOGAS), Open University Sensitivity analysis for statistical science: constructing the perturbation space

2nd Workshop of the European Research Consortium for Informatics and Mathematics (ERCIM) group on Computing and Statistics, Limassol, Cyprus On the geometry of generalised linear mixed models

Conference in Honour of Federico O'Reilly, Universidad Nacional Aut�noma M�xico, Mexico City On some geometric and non-geometric issues in goodness-of-fit

**C.J. Albers**
International Meeting of the Psychometric Society (IMPS) 2009, Cambridge Missing values in general forms of Procrustes analysis

**F. Critchley**
11th conference of the International Federation of Classification Societies, Dresden, Germany Principal axis analysis: a vivid example of invariant coordinate selection

International Conference on Robust Statistics (ICORS) 2009, Parma, Italy Sensitivity to model selection: a natural complement to robustness

Workshop on Geometric and Algebraic Statistics (WOGAS), Open University Emerging geometries for statistical science: an introduction

International Meeting of the Psychometric Society (IMPS) 2009, Cambridge Explicit minimisation of a convex quadratic under a general quadratic constraint

**F. Elfadaly **
Statistics for Development and Good Governance: The Tenth Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences, Cairo, Egypt On eliciting expert opinion in generalized linear models

**C.P. Farrington**
Statistics for Health Registers and Linked Databases, Open University Case series methods for the analysis of linked data and clinical records

Royal Statistical Society conference, Statistics in a Changing Society, Edinburgh Self-controlled case series analyses with event-dependent observation periods

INSERM workshop on Novel Statistical Methods in Epidemiology, St Raphael, France Case series methods: the basic model and some extensions

Workshop on Statistical Methods for Infectious Diseases, Oberwolfach, Germany Individual heterogeneity: effects and estimation for directly transmitted infectious diseases

**P.H. Garthwaite**
21st Annual Conference of the Statistics Department, Cairo University, Egypt Quantifying expert opinion as a prior distribution

Workshop on Subjective Bayes, University of Warwick Prior distribution elicitation for generalised linear and piecewise linear models [with software demonstrated by F. Elfadaly]

**J.C. Gower **
11th conference of the International Federation of Classification Societies, Dresden, Germany Trying to understand correspondence analysis

International Meeting of the Psychometric Society (IMPS) 2009, Cambridge Canonical variate analysis: ranks, ratios and fits

57th Session of the International Statistical Institute, Durban, South Africa David Kendall�s contribution to applications of statistics in archaeology and related matters [Invited paper in session in honour of David G. Kendall]

Classification and Data Analysis 2009, 7th meeting of the Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society, Catania, Italy Extended canonical analysis: theory and applications [Keynote paper]

**D. Gragn**
International Meeting of the Psychometric Society (IMPS) 2009, Cambridge Penalized varimax

Sparsity in Machine Learning and Statistics, Windsor Sparse and interpretable components [poster]

**M.C.Jones**
Annual doctoral day of the Graduate School in Statistics and Actuarial Science, Liege, Belgium Distributionology

**A. Noufaily**
International Conference on Statistical Modelling, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA On a family of distributions in the context of quantile regression

Royal Statistical Society conference, Statistics in a Changing Society, Edinburgh Generalized gamma distributions for parametric quantile regression [Poster]

**C.M. Queen**
41st Annual Universities' Transport Study Group (UTSG) Conference, London A graphical dynamic approach to forecasting and monitoring road traffic flow networks.

Traffic Modelling, Open University A graphical dynamic approach to forecasting road traffic flow networks

**S.Unkel**
International Meeting of the Psychometric Society (IMPS) 2009, Cambridge Exploratory factor analysis of data matrices with more variables than observations

**Other seminars and talks given**
**K. Anaya**
Queen Mary, University of London Sensitivity analysis, cuts and geometry

**F. Critchley**
University of Glasgow Sensitivity analysis for statistical science: a computational information geometry approach

University of Padua, Italy Sensitivity analysis for statistical science: a computational information geometry approach

**A. Faria**
Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal Multimodality of the geometric combination of Bayesian forecasting models

**C.P. Farrington**
University of Dundee The self-controlled case series method: applications in pharmacoepidemiology and pharmacovigilance

Health Protection Agency, London Individual heterogeneity - estimation from multivariate serological data

**M. Hocine**
University of Kent The self-controlled case series method

**M.C. Jones**
Universidad de Extremadura, C�ceres, Spain Simple exponential tails and skew t�s: useful new families of univariate distributions?

University of Manchester Distributionology

**C.M. Queen**
University of Kent A graphical dynamic approach to forecasting and monitoring road traffic flow networks

**Editorial roles**
**F. Critchley**
- Associate Editor:
*Journal de la Soci�t� Francaise de Statistique*
- Editorial Board Member:
*Studies in Classification, Data Analysis, and Knowledge Organisation *(book series, Springer)

**C.P. Farrington**
- Associate Editor, Biostatistics
- Editorial Board Member:
*Epidemiology and Infection*

**J.C. Gower**
- Associate Editor:
*The Mathematical Scientist*

**M.C. Jones**
- Associate Editor:
*Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics*
- Associate Editor:
*Communications in Statistics*
- Associate Editor:
*Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference *
- Associate Editor:
*Journal of the Korean Statistical Society*
- Associate Editor:
*Pakistan Journal of Statistics*
- Associate Editor:
* Statistica Sinica*
- Associate Editor:
*Statistical Methodology*

**N.T. Trendafilov**
- Associate Editor: Computational Statistics

**Grants awarded**
**C.P. Farrington & H.J. Whitaker**
- A grant of �304,000 from the Medical Research Council for the 3-year project Inference for infectious diseases from multivariate serological survey data.

**C.P. Farrington & P.H. Garthwaite**
- A grant of �28,000 from the National Institute of Health Research for the 1-year project Methodological development of syndromic and laboratory surveillance in England

**P.H. Garthwaite**
- An Overseas Research Student Award of �7,780 to help fund Fadlalla Elfadaly.

**N.T. Trendafilov**
- Co-investigator on an Erasmus bilateral agreement (joint project 2009 - 2013) with the Institute of Control and System Research, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences; covers staff mobility and one year of PhD training in the Open University

**Other activities**
**C.J. Albers**
- organised and chaired a symposium on Topics in Constrained Optimisation at the International Meeting of the Psychometric Society (IMPS) 2009, Cambridge

**F. Critchley**
- visited Universities of Padua, Italy, and Li�ge, Belgium

**A.E. Faria**
- spent the last eight months of the year on study leave at Lisbon University, Portugal

**C.P. Farrington**
- member of the RSS Council and Council representative on RSS Research Section committee
- member of the WHO Ad-Hoc Committee on EPI Serology in Relation to Intermittent Preventive Treatment in Infants against Malaria
- member of the Wellcome Trust�s Study Design Expert Group
- external examiner for the MSc in Statistical Science at the University of Lancaster
- examined a PhD at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
- gave an interview to PLUS Magazine, published in Sep-Dec 2009 issue, which is available (with podcast) from http://plus.maths.org/latestnews/sep-dec09/disease_package/
- gave his professorial inaugural lecture entitled Sufficient statistics: practical analyses of accessible data

**P.H. Garthwaite**
- external examiner for undergraduate statistics courses at the University of Mauritius

**J.C. Gower**
- member of the Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher Memorial Committee of Great Britain
- foreign member of the Advisory Board of IOPS (Interuniversitaire Onderzoekschool voor Psychometrie en Sociometrie)
- visited Stellenbosch University, South Africa

**M.C. Jones**
- examined PhDs for the Universities of Bergen, Norway, and Copenhagen, Denmark

**K.J. McConway**
- is Associate Dean (Curriculum and Awards) of the Faculty of Mathematics, Computing and Technology
- external examiner for the MSc in Statistics at the University of Kent
- examined a PhD at the University of Kent
- academic consultant on three more series of the BBC Radio4/OU series �More or Less�

**N.T. Trendafilov**
- elected to membership of the International Statistical Institute

**S.K. Vines**
- visited Erasmus University, Rotterdam, Netherlands